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India concentrates on Africa for its fuel

 

Indians in Africa have a long history spreading over centuries and Indian entrepreneurs have been establishing industries and trading units right from South Africa to Togo. After centuries of colonisation the continent is now grappling with the rule of oppressive dictators. The continent has not achieved anything significant economically in the post-colonial era. With living conditions being difficult, the intelligentsia have been migrating at a faster pace to the West.

 

Despite its reservoir of natural resources, Africa has not emerged as an economic powerhouse and has only managed to be a cluster of least developed nations. In addition to the neglect by the colonial masters, the sanctions imposed by the West time and again on dictators/coup leaders have only added to the misery of the already suffering common man in the continent.India says it has begun focusing on oil-rich African nations to meet its growing demand for oil and gas.

 

In a political vacuum created by a policy of neglect by the West, China, in its search for minerals and oil, is trying to fill the void by helping any regime, be it good or bad, that would suit its economic and political agenda. As an emerging market and a leading developing nation India can ill-afford to be a passive observer of this region.

 

With an eye on meeting its soaring energy demands and decreasing its dependence on Gulf oil, India is wooing Africa with a vengeance. India imports over 70% of its crude oil needs and, according to World Energy Outlook, published by the Paris-based International Energy Agency, its dependence on oil imports will grow to 91.6% by 2020. Sixty-five percent of India’s oil requirement is met by the Gulf. Worried about its excessive dependence on the Middle East - a region of perennial turmoil - India has been scouting for oil outside this region. It is in this context that Africa is emerging as an attractive partner. The continent holds about 10% of global oil reserves; six countries - Angola, Algeria, Egypt, Libya, Nigeria and Sudan accounting for 95% of that reserve. Besides, it accounts for 7% of global natural gas production.

 

With 10 percent of the total global reserves, Africa can emerge as an important source of oil and natural gas for India, a Petroleum and Natural Gas Ministry official said. Six African countries — Libya, Nigeria, Algeria, Angola, Sudan and Egypt — hold 95 percent of Africa’s reserves. Indian companies are all set to buy stakes in upstream and downstream sectors in these countries. India and Egypt have agreed that Indian Oil Corp. and Egyptian General Petroleum Corp. will jointly set up a new refinery in Egypt, along with the preferential allotment of oil blocks.

 

Africa’s estimated oil reserves are small compared with those in the Gulf, but the quality of its crude - the kind found in the Gulf of Guinea is light and sweet, ie viscous and low in sulfur - makes it an attractive option as it is easier and cheaper to refine than Middle Eastern oil. Moreover, most of it is located offshore, which means decreased transport costs and reduced risk of political violence.

 

As John Ghazvinian points out - the Scramble for Africa’s Oil, in Africa "existing sea-lanes can be used for quick, cheap delivery, so there is no need to worry about the Suez Canal, for instance, or to build expensive pipelines through unpredictable countries". African oil "is simply loaded onto a tanker at the point of production and begins its smooth, unmolested journey on the high seas, arriving just days later in Shreveport, Southampton, or Le Havre."

 

In a nutshell, Africa’s oil "is cheaper, safer and more accessible than its competitors, and there seems to be more of it every day". Africa meets 16% of India’s oil needs. "In the next two to three years, India’s imports from African countries are expected to touch 20-21%, around 24-25 million tonnes," M S Srinivasan, secretary, India’s Ministry of Petroleum and Natural Gas, said. India is keen to acquire more oil and gas fields as well as bag other energy projects, such as refineries, petrochemical plants and pipelines in Africa. Besides oil, India is also interested in importing liquefied natural gas (LNG) from Nigeria, Algeria and Egypt.

 

Srinivasan also drew attention to the growing importance of Africa in India’s investment plans. "For the 12th five-year plan [2012-2017], ONGC Videsh Ltd [OVL - the overseas arm of the state-run Oil and Natural Gas Corporation] alone has set a target of over $12 billion for investment abroad," Srinivasan said, adding that "a significant part of that will go to Africa". India has strong historical and cultural links with Africa. Besides, its campaign in global forums to end apartheid in South Africa and secure the decolonization of African countries is well known. Consequently, it has enjoyed immense goodwill in the continent.

 

However, with India giving priority to ties with the US and Europe as well as East Asia, Africa was relegated to the sidelines in India’s foreign-policy interests. And in the process, India ceded its influential role in Africa to another Asian giant - China. China currently sources 30% of its oil imports from Africa, which amounts to about 37 million tonnes (India gets about 18 million tonnes from Africa). Today, as India seeks to regain lost ground in Africa, it is China that it is bumping into across the continent. And it is competition from China that India is having to fight off in the course of its African oil safari.

 

India has indicated that its strategy for building partnerships with Africa in the energy field is similar to the one adopted by China. China has wooed Africa with soft loans, development aid, arms transfers and political support to bag lucrative oil projects. India has indicated that it, too, is open to an aid-for-oil strategy and will back this up by extending credit too. Soft loans at the rate of 0.5-1.75% interest for a period of 15 to 20 years are in the pipeline. The money can be used for infrastructure as well as for oil sector projects.

 

China is involved in a big way in infrastructural development in Africa, where it is building roads, railways, harbors, hospitals, stadiums and petrochemical installations. It has offered African governments attractive lines of credit. At a meeting of the African Development Bank in Shanghai in June, China pledged $20 billion in infrastructure and trade financing to Africa over the next three years. It has promised to double development assistance to Africa by 2009. Having already written off debts of almost $1.5 billion in the continent, it has promised to write off a similar amount again.

 

Indian officials point out that India has already tried the aid-for-oil strategy in Africa. In 2005, Mittal Steel and ONGC announced an investment of $6 billion to establish a refinery, power plant and railway lines in Nigeria through a joint-venture company, ONGC-Mittal Energy Ltd (OMEL). Under the mega-deal between ONGC and the Nigerian government, OMEL would create the infrastructure, while Nigeria would give it oil blocks.

 

ONGC has pumped $2 billion into eight countries in Africa, including Sudan, Libya, Egypt and Nigeria. The consortium of Indian Oil Corporation (India’s biggest state-run refiner) and Oil India has invested $125 million in Libya, Nigeria and Gabon. It has two blocks in Libya, and one block each in Nigeria and Gabon. GAIL (India) Limited has entered into a joint venture for a gas distribution project in Egypt and has signed up for pipeline and city gas projects in Libya.

 

OVL, which is present in three blocks in Sudan and on its way to joining a fourth, has applied for two more blocks in the country, Sudanese energy minister Awad Ahmed al-Jaz announced in Delhi. OVL wants to buy a 30% stake from Petronas of Malaysia in the massive Block 8 in the Blue Nile Basin, northeast of Sudan’s Melut Basin. Petronas Carigali Overseas has a 77% interest in the block, while the remaining equity is shared between Sudan’s national oil company Sudapet (15%) and High Tech Group (8%). OVL managing director R S Butola said the company is also keen on taking the unallocated 32.5% stake in Block B.

 

GAIL announced it is looking for a stake in a LNG plant in Nigeria and is interested in setting up a gas-based petrochemical plant in this country. It has announced that it will supply gas from Nigeria to Darfur. Last month, India’s Prime Minister Manmohan Singh visited Nigeria, the first Indian premier to do so in 45 years. The two countries signed an array of agreements and took steps to deepen their energy and economic partnership that would include new oil exploration blocks and infrastructure deals.

 

Recently IOC has announced plans to raise its annual Nigerian crude imports from the current 2 million tonnes to 3 million. "We are in talks with Nigeria and some other African countries for exploration and production blocks," IOC’s business development director B M Bansal was quoted as saying. IOC is keen on buying stakes in refineries in Africa, but only if the refinery comes as part of a package that includes an oil or gas block. IOC has also offered to invest in a gas-based petrochemicals plant and to set up a LNG facility in Mozambique.

 

India has signaled that it was interested not just in buying Africa’s oil but in participating in all phases of its production, refining, storage and transport. Moreover, it clarified that while gaining from Africa’s oil, it would give back, and it would contribute to capacity building. India stands ready to share its experience with its African partners in the hydrocarbon sector, from exploration to distribution through refining, storage and transportation. Over a period of time, investment in this sector will directly assist in the building up of a trained and skilled workforce capable of efficiently running the assets."

 

In its competition with China for Africa’s oil, India finds itself at a disadvantage. It lacks China’s deep pockets, which have proved crucial in swinging deals in Beijing’s favor. In Angola, for instance, India had almost clinched a deal with Anglo-Dutch energy giant Shell to purchase a 50% share in an oil-exploration project. It had offered $200 million in aid. But China offered Angola $2.3 billion. The deal went to China.

 

China has already hit the jackpot in Africa

The Chinese Government has taken up big projects, such as laying railways, arterial roads and national highways, thus laying the foundation for its commercial interests. The railway lines built in Zambia and the highway roads being built in Accra, Ghana are a part of this policy.

 

To ensure uninterrupted supply of raw materials for its ever-hungry industry, China has rolled out a timely strategic investment plan to build about five economic co-operation zones in Africa before 2009. This is likely to more than double the current trade level of $40 billion. The main aim of this economic co-operation zone is to train 15,000 African personnel to improve their economic condition, set up a $5-$6 billion Africa Fund to help start Chinese industries and create jobs and build strong cultural ties so that China remains, in the long run, an economic power which Africa would look up to.

 

One must remember that the Chinese oil requirement is largely supplied by Africa. Since 1993, China’s oil imports have increased by 40 per cent; Sub-Saharan Africa is a major supplier, with Angola taking the lead.

 

China consumes seven million barrels of oil per day. Not a single barrel comes from the UAE. Recently, China vetoed a UN plan for peacekeeping force in Khartoum, as it had acquired about 35-40 per cent of Sudan’s oil production facilities, an evidence of the political clout China enjoys in Africa.

 

India’s way forward

 

India too has to look at its economic interests in this region. The country needs oil and other natural resources. Africa can help meet our essential raw material requirements, especially that of cooking oil the supply of which continues to be uncertain. Letting the Chinese take a lead in the region will hurt India’s larger economic interests and the policy on this front needs a thorough overhaul. It must be remembered that once the Chinese are entrenched there will be little elbow room for others.

 

India can play an active role in areas such as agriculture, bringing about a white revolution, and helping establish a good marketing network for intra-continent agricultural produce as well as inter-continental trade. Pulses production in the country has stagnated for over a long period now. A fertile African continent can help India on this front. Cultural exchange programmes must increase and there must be more bilateral visits.

 

India enjoys the advantage with the presence of a large business community across Africa. The Prime Minister’s visit to Abuja and Lagos, followed by the Petroleum Ministry’s talks with its counterparts from Chad, Ethiopia and Comoros augurs well for the future. India must not neglect Africa in the larger interests of economy.

 

 

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